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WASHINGTON 鈥 Legal scholars say the U.S. Supreme Court鈥檚 latest congressional redistricting decision made it harder for minorities to choose their U.S. House representative, which could impact Louisiana鈥檚 quest for two, rather than one, majority-Black聽districts.

The 6-3 majority in a South Carolina case tries to end the court鈥檚 long struggle to , which is acceptable, with racial gerrymandering, which is not.

Writing for the conservative majority on May 23, Justice Samuel Alito gave state legislators the benefit of the doubt and required the map's challengers to demonstrate lawmakers鈥 racial motivations. He demanded they produce an alternative map that showed a partisan goal could be achieved by moving White voters instead of Black ones.

Some scholars point out that racial gerrymandering looks a lot like partisan gerrymandering in the South, where neighborhoods tend to be as segregated as White and Black political preferences.

鈥淭he first way to understand it,鈥 , president of the Brennan Center for Justice at NYU School of Law in an essay,鈥 and I hope you鈥檙e sitting down: this ruling is good for Republicans.鈥

For much of the history of the Voting Rights Act of 1965, a state had to demonstrate that its election rules and maps didn鈥檛 harm individual voters in protected classes. Since the 1990s, the federal courts have shifted from聽protecting聽such voters to respecting state legislatures, said Joshua Douglas of the University of Kentucky College of Law, in a , a nonprofit study center in Philadelphia.

鈥淭he court now essentially says, 鈥榃e want to stay out of this鈥,鈥 Douglas said. 鈥淭he answer is if you don鈥檛 like the voting laws that the states are enacting, you can vote the bums out. (That) rings hollow when the so-called bums are passing rules that make it harder to vote them out. And I think that is exactly the system that the court is setting up.鈥

How the South Carolina decision will apply to Louisiana is conjecture because the Supreme Court has only using the Legislature鈥榮 January map that creates a second majority-Black聽district. That meant putting a lower court's ruling on ice. But the high court hasn鈥檛 agreed to actually hear the case.

Those who want to see a permanent second majority-Black district in Louisiana pin their hopes on a similar case out of Alabama, in which the Supreme Court in June 2023 found that state needed a second minority-majority district. But Alabama鈥檚 lawmakers had repeatedly defied federal courts. Also, the South Carolina decision, as the latest expression of this high court, is expected to be the one Supreme Court justices will lean on should they hear the Louisiana redistricting case.

If the high court doesn鈥檛 take the case, the justices could send it back for the lower courts to sort out using the new standards. Or they could do something else. 滨迟鈥檚 the Supreme Court, after all.

滨迟鈥檚 that a Republican-majority Louisiana Legislature in that had just one majority-Black district, in much the same way as the GOP majority did a decade earlier. When then-Gov. John Bel Edwards vetoed that map 鈥 saying a third of the state鈥檚 residents are Black, and thus deserving of a second district 鈥 lawmakers overrode him. So that map was clearly the will of the Legislature.聽

But a series of lower federal court opinions prompted legislators to to include a second majority Black district 鈥 increasing the likelihood that Louisiana would send four White Republicans and two Black Democrats to Washington.

The new maps sought to protect House leadership by packing Black voters from Baton Rouge to Shreveport in a newly formed 6th Congressional District, which previously was more than two-thirds White. That configuration threatens the reelection of Rep. Garret Graves, R-Baton Rouge, who had fallen into disfavor with some prominent Republicans.

Then, a dozen voters who describe themselves as non-Black sued in February claiming that their rights had been violated by the state of Louisiana with a forbidden racially gerrymandered district.

A three-judge panel held a hearing in April聽in which Black voters, who had intervened, presented evidence that a primary goal of the map was to put Graves in a difficult political position. But two of three judges found more compelling the notion that race was the primary driver of the second majority-Black聽district.

The panel that aim to configure a second, more geographically compact minority-majority district. That was all sidetracked by the Supreme Court stay in May.

But the court's new requirement is that an alternative map shows Whites could also have been gerrymandered to prove that targeting Blacks initially was racial rather than political, Michael Li, senior counsel for the Brennan Center鈥檚 Democracy Program, . 鈥淭his is likely to be a train wreck for communities of color.鈥

Email Mark Ballard at mballard@theadvocate.com.

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